I recently read a blog by another respected greyhound player and writer that said speed basically didn't matter. I'd like to take a couple of minutes and dispute this basic premise.
Not too many years ago it was very difficult to know the exact statistic of any single factor over a large number of races. But thanks to sophisticated database centered software it isn't difficult at all anymore. I use quickdog software because it is simply the best available. In fact my members only website uses it exclusively to teach players how to win and become profitable players. In my teaching, one of the primary factors is speed.
So how does this other writer I mentioned earlier have his proposition hold up under statistical scrutiny? Not very well as I will now show you.
I ran a test of 500 races at a single track using my method of determining speed. I feel I have the best method for speed and everyone has their own ideas. However using my criteria for speed, here are the results.
One of the top 3 fastest ranked dogs won the race 49.9 percent of the time. That means 3/8 of the field ranked on speed wins half the races. 5/8 of the time it is the bottom ranked speed dogs that win.
So while the author I mentioned earlier was right that the top ranked speed dog won't win an overwhelming percentage of the time, one of the top tier dogs will. So I maintain that speed, more than anything else, is your best starting point for picking winners!
By the way, of you look at the top 4 ranked speed dogs (or the top half of the field) then the winning percentage jumps to 64%. Thats an overwhelming majority of races and further proves my point.
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